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Explore the casesUS Supreme Court · No. 25-170
Boulder is suing Suncor and ExxonMobil for a share of its climate-related costs. The companies want the claims blocked, arguing that federal law leaves no room for this kind of state-law lawsuit.
A model estimate made before oral argument. It predicts whether the judgment changes, not which legal arguments succeed.
Model-derived decimal odds against the simulated Docketodds book. Virtual funds only.
Simulation odds have no added book margin. How dismissals and other outcomes resolve.
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Federal jurisdiction / No. 25-170
Can Boulder pursue oil companies for climate costs?
Boulder is suing Suncor and ExxonMobil for a share of its climate-related costs. The companies want the claims blocked, arguing that federal law leaves no room for this kind of state-law lawsuit.
Closes 5 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-498
What does it take to challenge a retirement fund’s returns?
Intel retirement-plan participants say the funds were managed imprudently. The Court will decide whether a lawsuit based on poor returns must identify a sufficiently comparable investment benchmark.
Closes 6 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Administrative law / No. 25-579
When can a community challenge a military waste permit?
A Guam community group challenges the Air Force’s application to renew a hazardous-waste permit. The dispute asks when judicial review becomes available and whether a separate environmental review is required.
Closes 7 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Privacy & technology / No. 25-459
Does a newsletter subscription protect your viewing history?
A subscriber alleges that Paramount shared his video-viewing history with Facebook. The Court will decide whether subscribing to a non-video service can bring someone within federal video-privacy protections.
Closes 14 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Constitutional law / No. 25-581
Can preschool funding depend on admissions rules?
Catholic preschools challenge Colorado’s conditions for joining its publicly funded preschool program. The dispute concerns religious admissions policies and the state’s equal-opportunity requirements.
Closes 3 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Administrative law / No. 25-966
Can the Labor Department decide an employer’s monetary liability?
An agricultural employer challenges the Labor Department’s power to decide monetary claims within the agency. The Court will consider both Congress’s authorisation and the constitutional role of federal courts.
Closes 10 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Election law / No. 25-1017
What citizenship evidence can Arizona require to register?
The RNC challenges limits on Arizona’s documentary citizenship requirements and voter-roll removals. The dispute asks how state election rules fit with federal registration law and an existing court order.
Betting pausedAwaiting completion of merits briefing.
Forecast unavailable
View case detailsCommercial disputes / No. 17-16783
Could LinkedIn stop hiQ from scraping public profiles?
hiQ collected public LinkedIn profile data to sell workforce analytics. LinkedIn tried to block it. In April 2022, the Ninth Circuit upheld a temporary order keeping that access open.
Outcome: Injunction affirmed
View case detailsFederal jurisdiction / No. 25-2234
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-2234?
Nevada sued Optum and other defendants. The case was moved from state court to federal court, but the federal judge sent it back. This appeal asks whether that move back to state court should stand.
Closes 28 Sept 2026, 10:00 AEST (Sydney)
Intellectual property / No. 24-3367
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 24-3367?
Photographer Jeff Sedlik says a tattoo copied his photograph of jazz musician Miles Davis without permission. The dispute went to a jury, and Sedlik is now challenging the result. The appeal concerns whether the decision reached after that trial should stand.
Closes 29 Sept 2026, 10:00 AEST (Sydney)
Constitutional law / No. 24-7246
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 24-7246?
A Christian nonprofit requires employees to follow its rule against sex outside marriage between a man and a woman. A judge temporarily stopped Washington from enforcing its discrimination law against the nonprofit. State officials are challenging that protection while the lawsuit continues.
Closes 29 Sept 2026, 10:00 AEST (Sydney)
Privacy & technology / No. 24-2643
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 24-2643?
X sued the Center for Countering Digital Hate and another organisation. A judge threw out the lawsuit and applied a California law designed to protect people from lawsuits targeting protected speech. X is asking the appeals court to undo those decisions.
Closes 30 Sept 2026, 10:00 AEST (Sydney)
Administrative law / No. 25-11293
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-11293?
Humana and other insurers challenged a federal rule for checking Medicare Advantage payments and recovering overpayments. A judge set the rule aside. The government is appealing, arguing that it gave the public enough notice before adopting the rule.
Closes 5 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 26-40057
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-40057?
Power Contracting sued after a former executive moved to a competitor. Its claims involve promises about confidential information and limits on competing with the company. A judge dismissed claims, and Power Contracting wants them restored.
Closes 5 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Administrative law / No. 25-8059
Environmental Defense Center, et al. v. Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration
Environmental groups are challenging federal permits for an oil pipeline near Santa Barbara. Several related challenges are being handled together. The scheduled October event is a meeting about how the cases will proceed, not a hearing to decide whether the permits are lawful.
Betting pausedThese consolidated pipeline-permit challenges are direct agency petitions. The listed event is a status conference, not a merits argument.
Research only · odds unavailable
View case detailsCommercial disputes / No. 25-50660
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-50660?
Workers and Texas Farm Bureau are disputing overtime pay. A jury heard the case, but the fight continued over how to prove the hours worked and how the judge handled the verdict and a new trial. Those decisions are now before the appeals court.
Closes 6 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Intellectual property / No. 26-10747
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-10747?
Motorola asked a US court to require documents for use in patent lawsuits abroad. The court approved the request. Advanced Standard Communication is appealing, saying the request goes too far and includes material that a European patent court had already refused to order.
Closes 6 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-11338
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-11338?
The court-appointed manager handling the Stanford receivership and other professionals are challenging how much they were paid for their work. The appeal concerns fees the judge reduced or held back.
Closes 7 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-50906
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-50906?
DC Transco and Rainbow disagree over who must pay losses from electricity trades. DC Transco says Rainbow made trades without its approval and withheld money owed to it. Rainbow is challenging a ruling in DC Transco's favour; the dispute also includes a cross-appeal.
Closes 7 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Administrative law / No. 25-60127
Arkansas Public Service Commission, Et Al., Petitioners v. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission. (Cons. w/ No. 25-60208)
Arkansas utility regulators and other challengers disagree with the federal energy regulator about how to share the costs of electricity transmission across regional boundaries. They are asking the appeals court to review the regulator's decisions.
Betting pausedA direct petition for review challenges FERC's treatment of cross-border transmission costs. A district-court affirmance target does not fit this proceeding.
Research only · odds unavailable
View case detailsAdministrative law / No. 26-60101
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-60101?
McComb Children's Clinic challenged a federal healthcare discrimination rule. Another lawsuit had already removed part of that rule, so the judge dismissed the clinic's case as no longer needing a decision. The clinic says a remaining part of the rule still affects it.
Closes 7 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Administrative law / No. 22-15529
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 22-15529?
Several lawsuits challenged a federal rule removing protections for gray wolves. Those cases were decided together, and that judgment is now being appealed. The court's short description identifies the rule but does not spell out which parts of the judgment each challenger wants changed.
Closes 13 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Administrative law / No. 25-3936
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-3936?
Conservation groups challenged federal rules for managing Mexican gray wolves. The judge ruled for the federal government and Arizona without holding a trial. The groups are asking the appeals court to change that result.
Closes 13 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Administrative law / No. 25-5109
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-5109?
Conservation groups are challenging a ruling about federal protection for gray wolves in the western United States. The lawsuit concerns a 2024 government decision about whether those wolves should be listed as threatened or endangered. The public court description cuts off before fully explaining that decision.
Closes 13 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-7045
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-7045?
People suing LendingTree and QuoteWizard want to bring claims as a group. The companies sought to move the dispute out of court and into arbitration, where a private decision-maker hears the case. The judge refused, and the companies are appealing. An online sign-in agreement is part of the dispute.
Closes 14 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-6120
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-6120?
The people suing St. Luke's Health System accused it of breaking laws that protect competition. A judge dismissed their lawsuit. They are asking the appeals court to let the case proceed.
Closes 15 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-1919
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-1919?
Customers challenged labels on Hain Celestial products made for preschool-aged children. The judge ruled for Hain without a trial and refused to let the customers pursue the case as a group. The customers are appealing both decisions.
Closes 19 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-3161
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-3161?
Customers sued Procter & Gamble over statements on shampoo labels. The judge threw out the case because the written claims did not establish a sufficient legal basis to proceed. The customers want another chance to pursue those claims.
Closes 19 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Privacy & technology / No. 25-4155
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-4155?
People who receive emails from Rugs.com sued the company and sought to act for a wider group. Rugs.com asked to have the claims heard by a private decision-maker through arbitration. The judge refused, and Rugs.com is appealing.
Closes 19 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Privacy & technology / No. 25-6635
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-6635?
Roblox and other defendants are being sued in a proposed group lawsuit. They asked to have the dispute heard through arbitration by a private decision-maker. The judge refused, and that refusal is being appealed.
Closes 19 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-7369
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-7369?
Two Pepperdine students sued over the university's switch to online-only classes during the pandemic. Pepperdine asked the judge to revisit an earlier order, but the judge refused. The university is appealing that refusal.
Closes 19 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-3499
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-3499?
Bon Appetit Danish and Delta Systems are disputing promises made in a business contract. The case produced a judgment and an award of legal fees to Delta. Those decisions are now being challenged.
Closes 20 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Administrative law / No. 26-1899
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-1899?
Environmental groups sued over the management of salmon in the Columbia River system. A judge ordered temporary measures while the lawsuit continues and refused to dismiss the case. Those orders are being appealed.
Closes 20 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Election law / No. 23-35598
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 23-35598?
David Johnson says Alaska and its officials failed to follow federal rules for running elections. A judge dismissed his lawsuit. He is asking the appeals court to let it continue.
Closes 21 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Intellectual property / No. 24-6099
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 24-6099?
Amarte and Kendo are in a dispute under the federal law governing trademarks and certain misleading commercial claims. A judge decided the case without a trial and awarded legal fees. Amarte is challenging the outcome.
Closes 21 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-2280
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-2280?
Workers and the City of San Jose are disputing pay under federal wage law. A judge heard the evidence without a jury and issued a decision. That decision is now being appealed.
Closes 21 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Intellectual property / No. 25-2301
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-2301?
Roar Spirits sued Sutter Home Winery under the federal law governing trademarks and certain misleading commercial claims. The judge ruled for Sutter Home without a trial. Roar Spirits is appealing.
Closes 21 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-3447
Betula Lenta, Inc. v. Jinzheng Group USA, LLC
A dispute connected to a bankruptcy ended in a judgment entered because one side did not properly respond. A bankruptcy judge refused to reopen that decision, and another judge agreed. The appeal asks whether the judgment should be reopened.
Betting pausedAn appeal concerns refusal to reopen a bankruptcy adversary default judgment; the general civil baseline is not a matching model.
Research only · odds unavailable
View case detailsCommercial disputes / No. 25-3778
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-3778?
A worker sued Memorial Health Services over pay and working hours. Memorial sought to move the dispute to arbitration, where a private decision-maker would hear it. The judge refused, and Memorial is appealing.
Closes 21 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-4114
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-4114?
Peak Oil says Ventura County shut down its drilling operation in a way that unlawfully took its property. A judge dismissed the company's lawsuit. Peak Oil wants the case restored.
Closes 21 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-4222
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-4222?
Borrowers sued Navient, but a judge dismissed their claims because federal law was found to block them. The borrowers are appealing that decision. The public court summary does not identify the particular loan practices they challenged.
Closes 21 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Federal jurisdiction / No. 25-4692
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-4692?
Environmental groups sued federal officials. The Jamestown S'Klallam Tribe says the case cannot properly continue without addressing its role as a party whose interests are affected. The judge refused the tribe's request to dismiss the case, and the tribe is appealing.
Closes 21 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-40774
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-40774?
Some people covered by a settlement in a competition-law lawsuit involving Charles Schwab object to the deal. They question the value of what the group receives and the legal fees being paid. They are appealing the judge's approval of the settlement.
Closes 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-2440
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-2440?
An investor says DFINITY and others used a scheme to inflate a cryptocurrency's price and sell before it fell. A judge dismissed the investor's lawsuit. The investor is appealing; the accusations have not been established by this appeal.
Closes 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-3285
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-3285?
The US securities regulator sued Yale and other defendants, alleging breaches of investment-market rules. After a ten-day jury trial, the regulator won a judgment. The defendants are asking the appeals court to change that result.
Closes 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Intellectual property / No. 24-5032
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 24-5032?
MIB Group and Aguilar are in a dispute under the federal law governing trademarks and certain misleading commercial claims. The judge decided the case without a trial. MIB Group is challenging that ruling.
Closes 26 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Administrative law / No. 25-4217
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-4217?
Stenson Tamaddon challenged IRS guidance about a pandemic tax credit intended to help employers retain staff. A judge ruled for the IRS. The company is asking the appeals court to change that result.
Closes 26 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-4339
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-4339?
A court recognised a decision made by an arbitrator outside the United States. Someone affected by that judgment asked the judge to set it aside, but the judge refused. This appeal challenges that refusal.
Closes 26 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-6046
Perfection Granite Company, LLC v. Signature Mechanical, Inc.
Perfection Granite and Signature Mechanical are involved in a dispute within a bankruptcy case. The bankruptcy judge decided the dispute without a trial. That decision is now being appealed.
Betting pausedA bankruptcy adversary summary judgment is on appeal; bankruptcy-specific pricing and target validation are unavailable.
Research only · odds unavailable
View case detailsConstitutional law / No. 26-1700
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-1700?
People challenging Seattle's permit rules for events in public places say the rules restrict free speech. They asked a judge to stop the rules temporarily while the lawsuit continues. The judge refused, and they are appealing.
Closes 26 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Federal jurisdiction / No. 25-2165
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-2165?
A consumer lawsuit involving CreditNinja was moved from state court to federal court. The federal judge sent it back after finding that the person suing could not ask that court for an order protecting the wider public. That decision is being appealed.
Closes 27 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-2499
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-2499?
A lawsuit involving J-M Manufacturing concerned accusations of false claims for payment. This appeal focuses on the judge's award of legal fees and other case costs.
Closes 27 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-3460
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-3460?
Wholesale businesses and Innovation Ventures fought a lawsuit about alleged harm to competition. The case went to trial, and the resulting judgment is now being challenged.
Closes 27 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-3693
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-3693?
Citizens of Humanity wanted its insurers to cover costs from employment lawsuits against the company. A judge dismissed its insurance claim. The company is appealing.
Closes 27 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-4867
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-4867?
A union and Brawn Mechanical are disputing a decision made by an arbitrator, a private decision-maker. A judge recognised that decision as enforceable through the court. The appeal challenges the judge's ruling.
Closes 28 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-8040
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-8040?
Mayra Manzano brought pay-and-hours claims against POM Medical and sought to act for a wider group. POM Medical asked to move the case to arbitration before a private decision-maker. The judge refused, and the company is appealing.
Closes 28 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 26-1773
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-1773?
AssuredPartners sued Jason Barrios and Sequel Insurance over an agreement limiting competition after employment. It asked for a temporary court order while the lawsuit continues. The judge refused, and AssuredPartners is appealing.
Closes 28 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Constitutional law / No. 26-86
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-86?
A lawsuit involving Spokane claims that the government imposed punishment through a law without a trial. Some defendants asked to be protected from the suit under rules shielding public officials from certain claims. The judge refused part of that request, and they are appealing.
Closes 28 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Constitutional law / No. 25-2162
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-2162?
A challenger sued San Diego over restrictions on speech on public sidewalks near healthcare facilities, schools and places of worship. The judge dismissed the lawsuit. The challenger wants it restored.
Closes 29 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-2174
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-2174?
Danielle Uwaoma sued OTS Solutions over pay and working hours and sought to represent other workers. OTS asked to move the claims to arbitration before a private decision-maker. The judge refused, and OTS is appealing.
Closes 29 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-3387
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-3387?
Workers brought pay-and-hours claims against Apria Healthcare and sought to act as a group. Apria asked for arbitration, which would put the dispute before a private decision-maker. The judge refused, and Apria is appealing.
Closes 29 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Privacy & technology / No. 26-313
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-313?
Shryock sued Experian under federal rules governing credit reporting. Experian asked to move the dispute to arbitration before a private decision-maker. The judge refused, and Experian is appealing.
Closes 29 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-352
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-352?
Hotel owners sued the City of Anderson and others after officials marked their hotel as unsafe to use, a step often called red-tagging. The judge dismissed their lawsuit. The owners are appealing.
Closes 30 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Privacy & technology / No. 25-7161
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-7161?
Morrison sued Yippee Entertainment under a federal law protecting information about people's video viewing. Yippee asked to have the dispute heard through arbitration by a private decision-maker. The judge refused, and Yippee is appealing.
Closes 30 Oct 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-11353
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-11353?
OccuNet says Premier broke promises in an agreement giving it exclusive rights. The judge dismissed its claims because an earlier confidentiality agreement contained a promise not to sue over certain matters. OccuNet says that promise did not cover the later deal.
Closes 2 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-20586
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-20586?
NE Shore supplied people to build software for Professional Credentials Exchange. After the business relationship ended, the companies disputed their contract obligations. The judge ruled against NE Shore's contract claim, finding the agreement could not be enforced. NE Shore is appealing.
Closes 2 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Administrative law / No. 25-40766
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-40766?
Texas challenged federal limits on arrangements used to fund Medicaid. The dispute concerns healthcare providers paying state taxes, then receiving money through Medicaid and redistributing it among themselves. A judge blocked federal rules aimed at arrangements that return the cost of those taxes to the providers. The government is appealing.
Closes 2 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Constitutional law / No. 25-51034
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-51034?
People affected by a Texas law restricting property purchases by certain foreign nationals asked a judge to stop it temporarily. The judge refused. They are appealing, raising constitutional objections and disputing whether they have shown enough personal impact to bring the challenge.
Closes 2 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-60703
Robbi Jones, Et Al., Petitioners v. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Robbi Jones and other challengers are contesting a securities-regulator decision connected to disciplinary action by FINRA, the organisation that oversees securities brokers. They are asking the appeals court to review the SEC's handling of that action.
Betting pausedA direct agency-review proceeding concerns SEC review of FINRA disciplinary action. This needs a separate outcome definition and pricing cohort.
Research only · odds unavailable
View case detailsCommercial disputes / No. 26-20018
Wesco Aircraft Holdings, Et Al. v. 2026 Noteholders, Appellant.
Wesco and groups of lenders disagree over changes to company debt agreements. Those changes affect which lenders have the first claim on assets used to secure repayment. The dispute has reached the appeals court through the company's bankruptcy.
Betting pausedA corporate debt dispute concerns indenture amendments, collateral and lien priority. Bankruptcy appeals need a separate pricing cohort.
Research only · odds unavailable
View case detailsAdministrative law / No. 26-60057
Assist Wireless, Et Al., Petitioners v. Federal Communications Commission, Et Al.
Wireless providers want reimbursement under Lifeline, a federal phone-service support program. A pandemic rule temporarily relaxed requirements linked to whether subscribers used their service. The providers and the communications regulator disagree about when that relaxation ended and which payments were due.
Betting pausedProviders seek direct review of an FCC ruling about Lifeline reimbursements during a pandemic waiver period. A separate agency-review target is required.
Research only · odds unavailable
View case detailsCommercial disputes / No. 25-30677
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-30677?
Greater Guide says competitors used lawsuits and complaints to regulators as a way to drive it out of business. The judge rejected its competition-law claims based on protections for asking courts and government agencies to act. Greater Guide is appealing.
Closes 3 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Administrative law / No. 25-60487
Matterhorn Express Pipeline, Petitioner v. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission. (Cons. w/ No. 26-60051)
Matterhorn operates a pipeline and disputes the federal energy regulator's requirements for how it sets prices. It says the regulator rejected a pricing approach that other similar pipelines have been allowed to use. Matterhorn is asking the appeals court to undo those decisions.
Betting pausedMatterhorn challenges FERC pipeline-rate requirements through direct agency review. The district-court affirmance target is unsuitable.
Research only · odds unavailable
View case detailsCommercial disputes / No. 26-40011
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-40011?
John Pollock says he has enforceable rights under an agreement for a charitable fund. American Endowment Foundation says he was the donor's financial adviser, not someone given rights under the agreement. A judge dismissed Pollock's claims, and he is appealing.
Closes 3 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Constitutional law / No. 26-50111
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-50111?
Texas limits state investment in, and contracts with, companies it treats as boycotting fossil fuels. A business association challenged those restrictions as punishment for protected speech and won a ruling in the lower court. Texas officials are appealing.
Closes 3 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-20481
Dawn Buckingham, Appellant-Appellee v. Pearl Resources, Et Al.
Pearl Resources and the Texas General Land Office are disputing mineral leases, drilling work and payments. The bankruptcy court heard evidence and ruled on their dispute. The state land office is challenging parts of that result, including whether it could be held liable in that court.
Betting pausedA direct bankruptcy appeal concerns state mineral leases, drilling obligations and sovereign immunity. It falls outside the current pricing cohort.
Research only · odds unavailable
View case detailsAdministrative law / No. 25-51058
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-51058?
The Center for Biological Diversity wanted to join a lawsuit about an endangered-species listing. The judge refused because the federal government was already defending interests the court considered adequately represented. The Center says it needs its own voice in the case.
Closes 4 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Administrative law / No. 25-60055
Vistra Corporation, Et Al., Petitioners v. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission. (Cons. w/ Nos. 25-60149, 25-60329, and 25-60453)
Power generators are challenging a federal rule changing payment for a service that helps maintain electricity voltage. They say the regulator is requiring them to provide that service without compensation. The appeals court is being asked to review the rule.
Betting pausedGenerators challenge FERC's reactive-power compensation rule through direct agency review. A separate target and pricing cohort are required.
Research only · odds unavailable
View case detailsAdministrative law / No. 26-50181
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-50181?
Wildtype and UPSIDE make cultivated meat, grown from animal cells. They challenged a Texas restriction on selling it and asked a judge to pause the restriction while the lawsuit continues. The judge refused, and the companies are appealing.
Closes 4 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-540
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-540?
Moonshadow Mobile and Labels & Lists took a business dispute to an arbitrator, a private decision-maker. A court later set aside the arbitration result in Labels & Lists' favour and issued a separate legal-fee order. Those court decisions are now being appealed.
Closes 16 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-569
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-569?
Workers and SSA Terminals are disputing compliance with California rules on pay and working hours. The case involves claims brought for groups of workers. Both sides are challenging parts of the judgment.
Closes 16 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-5856
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-5856?
Moss sued Cleo AI under a federal law protecting military borrowers. Cleo asked to send the dispute to arbitration before a private decision-maker. The judge refused, and Cleo is appealing.
Closes 16 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-5924
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-5924?
Escalante brought a lawsuit against Benaderet under a federal law dealing with false claims for government money. The judge dismissed the case. Escalante is appealing.
Closes 16 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-6377
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-6377?
People suing Empower Finance and other defendants brought claims under a federal law protecting military borrowers. The defendants asked to move the dispute to arbitration before a private decision-maker. The judge refused, and they are appealing.
Closes 16 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-7035
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-7035?
Revell sued Grant Money and others under a federal law protecting military borrowers. The defendants asked to have the dispute heard through arbitration by a private decision-maker. The judge refused, and the defendants are appealing.
Closes 16 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Privacy & technology / No. 25-7657
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-7657?
DZ Reserve brought a lawsuit against Meta and sought to act for a wider group. Meta asked to send the claims to arbitration, where a private decision-maker would hear them. The judge refused, and Meta is appealing.
Closes 16 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 26-12
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-12?
Russell and other people sued Dave and other defendants under a federal law protecting military borrowers. The defendants asked to move the claims to arbitration before a private decision-maker. The judge refused, and that decision is being appealed.
Closes 16 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Privacy & technology / No. 26-1356
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-1356?
Tyler Kuhk sued Playstudios over games he played on his phone. Playstudios again asked to send the dispute to arbitration before a private decision-maker, but the judge refused. The company is appealing.
Closes 16 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-5650
Moda v. Mazgani, et al.
A dispute between Moda and Mazgani connected to a bankruptcy was dismissed by the bankruptcy judge. Another judge agreed with that dismissal. The appeal seeks to change the result.
Betting pausedThe dispute concerns dismissal of a bankruptcy adversary proceeding; the initial civil model does not cover this posture.
Research only · odds unavailable
View case detailsCommercial disputes / No. 25-7124
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-7124?
Workers brought claims against Lululemon under California rules on pay and working hours. Lululemon asked to move the proposed group lawsuit to arbitration before a private decision-maker. The judge refused, and the company is appealing.
Closes 17 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Privacy & technology / No. 26-1010
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-1010?
Lashonna McMillan sued Westgate Resorts under a federal law restricting certain unwanted calls and messages and sought to represent a group. Westgate asked to send the case to arbitration before a private decision-maker. The judge refused, and Westgate is appealing.
Closes 17 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 26-2490
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-2490?
DirecTV and Nexstar are in a dispute under a federal law restricting deals that harm competition. A judge issued a temporary order while the lawsuit continues. That order is now being appealed.
Closes 17 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 26-498
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-498?
St. Paul Fire and Marine and Franz Construction are disputing what an insurance policy covers. The insurer asked the court to declare its obligations and won a ruling without a trial. That ruling is being appealed.
Closes 17 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 26-71
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-71?
Xtrasaver sued Klipsch, but the judge ordered the dispute into arbitration before a private decision-maker and dismissed the court case. Xtrasaver is appealing that order.
Closes 17 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Administrative law / No. 25-3168
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-3168?
Ashli Healthcare challenged how the government checks Medicare bills and calculates overpayments to providers. A judge ruled for the government without a trial. Ashli is appealing.
Closes 18 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-3500
Castaneda v. Hopper
Castaneda and Hopper are involved in two disputes connected to a bankruptcy. A panel of bankruptcy judges has already reviewed decisions in those disputes. Its decision is now being appealed to the circuit court.
Betting pausedAn appeal concerns Bankruptcy Appellate Panel decisions in two adversary proceedings; this requires bankruptcy-specific outcome modelling.
Research only · odds unavailable
View case detailsCommercial disputes / No. 25-4316
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-4316?
Volkswagen won a business lawsuit against On-Line Administrators and other defendants. The judge decided some issues before trial and others after hearing evidence without a jury. The defendants are challenging the resulting judgment.
Closes 18 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-4438
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-4438?
Hotel operators sued after the City of Stanton revoked their business licence. A judge dismissed the lawsuit. The operators are asking the appeals court to let it continue.
Closes 18 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-5701
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-5701?
Samuels sued AH Capital Management and other defendants over investment-related claims. The defendants asked to move the dispute to arbitration before a private decision-maker. The judge refused, and that refusal is being appealed.
Closes 18 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-7653
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-7653?
Central Copters and Kaman are disputing a business judgment and what happens while an appeal is underway. The challenged orders also concern pausing collection of the judgment and money pledged to secure payment. The court's summary does not explain the original business dispute.
Closes 18 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 26-1248
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-1248?
Pacific Reign and other plaintiffs sued OXE Marine and other defendants over promises about a product or service. The defendants sought arbitration before a private decision-maker. The judge refused, and the refusal is being appealed.
Closes 18 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Privacy & technology / No. 26-1591
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-1591?
xAI challenged a California law requiring information about the data used to train artificial-intelligence systems. It asked a judge to stop enforcement temporarily while the case continues. The judge refused, and xAI is appealing.
Closes 18 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 22-60024
Isha Deen v. Chodry Deen
A dispute connected to a bankruptcy was reopened and sent back to state court. A panel of bankruptcy judges upheld that decision. The appeal asks the circuit court to review it.
Betting pausedA bankruptcy appeal concerns reopening an adversary proceeding and returning it to state court; no matching pricing model is available.
Research only · odds unavailable
View case detailsCommercial disputes / No. 24-2676
King v. Cavic Aviation Leasing Ireland 22 Co.
King brought claims connected to a bankruptcy against an aircraft-leasing company. The bankruptcy judge dismissed those claims, and another judge agreed. King is appealing.
Betting pausedThe appeal concerns dismissal of bankruptcy adversary proceedings involving an aviation lessor; bankruptcy-specific validation is absent.
Research only · odds unavailable
View case detailsCommercial disputes / No. 25-3056
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-3056?
Fujishige sued Amazon over employment-related claims and sought to represent a group. A judge dismissed the lawsuit. Fujishige is asking the appeals court to restore it.
Closes 19 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-3127
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-3127?
Investors sued Freshworks and other defendants under federal rules governing the sale of investments. A judge decided the case without a trial, and the investors are appealing.
Closes 19 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Federal jurisdiction / No. 25-3567
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-3567?
Nova sued Environmental Systems Research Institute. A judge dismissed the case because the dispute should be heard in a more suitable court elsewhere. Nova is appealing.
Closes 19 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-4236
In re: Blackwell, et al. v. Porcel
A bankruptcy judge decided a dispute without a trial. A bankruptcy appeals panel overturned that decision. The next appeal asks the circuit court to review the panel's ruling.
Betting pausedAn appeal concerns a Bankruptcy Appellate Panel reversal in adversary litigation; the civil baseline is not a matching forecast.
Research only · odds unavailable
View case detailsCommercial disputes / No. 25-4833
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-4833?
Customers say Fireball Malt was made to look like Fireball Whisky even though the malt product contains no whisky. A judge allowed California purchasers to pursue the claims together as a group. Sazerac is challenging that permission.
Closes 19 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Administrative law / No. 25-767
Valencia Project, LLC v. Commissioner of Internal Revenue
A real-estate venture disputed changes the IRS made to its tax returns. The Tax Court ruled for the IRS without a trial. The venture is appealing.
Betting pausedA partnership challenges federal tax-return adjustments; Tax Court appeals require their own pricing cohort and target review.
Research only · odds unavailable
View case detailsConstitutional law / No. 26-2688
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-2688?
People challenged new restrictions affecting speech outside a federal immigration-agency office in Eugene, Oregon. A judge temporarily blocked enforcement while the lawsuit continues. The government is appealing.
Closes 19 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Administrative law / No. 24-6926
Siren Retail Corporation dba Starbucks v. National Labor Relations Board
A Starbucks business and the federal labour board disagree over a ruling about alleged unlawful workplace practices. The company is asking the appeals court to review the ruling, while the board is asking the court to enforce it.
Betting pausedStarbucks and the NLRB seek review or enforcement of an agency order; a district-court affirmance contract is not the right target.
Research only · odds unavailable
View case detailsCommercial disputes / No. 25-3339
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-3339?
EcoHub sued Recology and Nortech Waste in a business dispute. A judge ruled for Recology and Nortech without a trial. EcoHub is appealing.
Closes 20 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-3539
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-3539?
Dickerson sued Macmillan and other defendants under federal rules governing investment markets. A judge dismissed the lawsuit. Dickerson is appealing.
Closes 20 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-3547
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-3547?
Michael Ho sued Marathon Patent Group and others, alleging that they broke a contract. The case produced a judgment that is now being appealed.
Closes 20 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-4164
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-4164?
Valor Systems and other plaintiffs sued TransX Systems and others over alleged investment fraud. The judge dismissed the case because the people bringing it had not taken the required steps to move it forward. Valor is appealing.
Closes 20 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-7906
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-7906?
Cirkunovs and Zuffa are in a lawsuit about alleged harm to competition. This appeal concerns a court order about arbitration, where a private decision-maker hears a dispute. The short court description does not say whether arbitration was ordered or refused.
Closes 20 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Administrative law / No. 25-7929
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-7929?
Cottonwood Environmental Law Center sued Big Sky Water and Sewer District and others under federal water-pollution law. A jury heard the case, and the resulting judgment is now being appealed.
Closes 20 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Administrative law / No. 26-779
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-779?
Cottonwood Environmental Law Center sued Yellowstone Mountain Club under federal water-pollution law. The case produced a judgment that the environmental group is now challenging.
Closes 20 Nov 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Administrative law / No. 26-1172
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-1172?
AstraZeneca challenged a Hawaii law limiting drugmakers' ability to restrict deliveries of discounted medicines to pharmacies working with eligible healthcare providers. The law concerns the federal 340B discount program. A judge refused to pause enforcement while the lawsuit continues, and AstraZeneca is appealing.
Closes 1 Dec 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Administrative law / No. 26-3709
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 26-3709?
AbbVie and other drugmakers challenged a Washington law limiting restrictions on supplying discounted medicines to eligible healthcare providers and their partner pharmacies. The law concerns the federal 340B discount program. A judge refused to pause enforcement, and the companies are appealing.
Closes 1 Dec 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-11205
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-11205?
A deal for medical gloves went wrong: the gloves were not delivered, and a dispute followed over money a law firm held for the transaction. The appeal concerns whether the firm broke its instructions when releasing that money and whether the evidence supported the jury's verdict.
Closes 3 Dec 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
Commercial disputes / No. 25-7692
Will the court affirm in full on lead appeal 25-7692?
Makai Ranch says Honolulu officials unlawfully discriminated when processing development-permit applications. A judge ruled for the officials without a trial. Makai Ranch is appealing.
Closes 4 Dec 2026, 11:00 AEDT (Sydney)
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